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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.39%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 22.61% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.7%) and 0-1 (7.39%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 22.61% | 20.99% | 56.39% |
| Both teams to score 62.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.81% | 35.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.8% | 57.2% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% | 28.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.75% | 64.25% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.53% | 12.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.57% | 38.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 5.83% 1-0 @ 4.46% 2-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.54% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.37% Total : 22.61% | 1-1 @ 9.29% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 3.55% 3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.99% | 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-2 @ 7.7% 0-1 @ 7.39% 1-3 @ 6.71% 0-3 @ 5.34% 2-3 @ 4.21% 1-4 @ 3.49% 0-4 @ 2.78% 2-4 @ 2.19% 1-5 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.16% 3-4 @ 0.92% 2-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.46% Total : 56.39% |