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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.73%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 25.36% | 24.91% | 49.73% |
| Both teams to score 52.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.93% | 50.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.96% | 72.04% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.68% | 34.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.97% | 71.02% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% | 20.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.57% | 52.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 7.4% 2-1 @ 6.34% 2-0 @ 3.96% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.81% 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.2% Total : 25.36% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 11.07% 1-2 @ 9.49% 0-2 @ 8.87% 1-3 @ 5.07% 0-3 @ 4.74% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 2.03% 0-4 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.76% Total : 49.72% |