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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | FC Twente |
| 44.98% | 25.6% | 29.41% |
| Both teams to score 53.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.7% | 50.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.75% | 72.25% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% | 22.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.2% | 55.8% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% | 31.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.37% | 67.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | FC Twente |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.12% 2-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.23% Total : 44.97% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.98% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.11% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 4.72% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.89% Total : 29.41% |