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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 59.51% | 21.53% | 18.96% |
| Both teams to score 54.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.19% | 42.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.78% | 65.22% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.99% | 14.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.44% | 41.56% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% | 36.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.91% | 73.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.83% 3-1 @ 6.52% 3-0 @ 6.44% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 3.2% 4-0 @ 3.16% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.98% Total : 59.51% | 1-1 @ 10.13% 0-0 @ 5.09% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.53% | 0-1 @ 5.16% 1-2 @ 5.13% 0-2 @ 2.61% 1-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.96% |