Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
