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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Willem II |
| 40.38% | 24.23% | 35.39% |
| Both teams to score 60.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.81% | 42.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.4% | 64.59% |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% | 21.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.19% | 53.8% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% | 23.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.39% | 57.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% 1-0 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.74% Total : 40.38% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-1 @ 7.16% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.16% Total : 35.39% |