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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 37.87% | 25.27% | 36.86% |
| Both teams to score 56.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.12% | 46.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.86% | 69.13% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% | 24.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.24% | 58.75% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.1% | 24.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.48% | 59.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 6.05% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.01% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.87% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 8.43% 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 3.84% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 0.94% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.81% Total : 36.86% |