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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Willem II |
| 47.43% | 23.51% | 29.05% |
| Both teams to score 60.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.74% | 41.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.35% | 63.65% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.37% | 17.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.78% | 48.22% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% | 26.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.74% | 62.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 5.43% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.84% Total : 47.43% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-1 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.05% |