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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Groningen |
| 34.92% | 25.23% | 39.85% |
| Both teams to score 56.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.08% | 46.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.83% | 69.17% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% | 26.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.94% | 61.06% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% | 23.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.7% | 57.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 8.18% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.34% Total : 34.92% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 4.2% 0-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.85% |