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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
27.05% | 23.74% | 49.21% |
Both teams to score 57.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.3% | 43.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.91% | 66.09% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.4% | 29.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.37% | 65.63% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.12% | 17.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.34% | 48.66% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 6.75% 1-0 @ 6.44% 2-0 @ 3.92% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.25% Total : 27.05% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 5.81% 0-0 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-1 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 7.84% 1-3 @ 5.48% 0-3 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 3.34% 1-4 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 1.94% 2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.66% Total : 49.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |