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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 27.05% | 23.74% | 49.21% |
| Both teams to score 57.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.3% | 43.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.91% | 66.09% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% | 29.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.37% | 65.63% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% | 17.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.34% | 48.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 6.75% 1-0 @ 6.44% 2-0 @ 3.92% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.25% Total : 27.05% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 5.81% 0-0 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-1 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 7.84% 1-3 @ 5.48% 0-3 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 3.34% 1-4 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 1.94% 2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.66% Total : 49.21% |