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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
53.27% | 22.36% | 24.36% |
Both teams to score 59.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.25% | 39.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.89% | 62.11% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.02% | 14.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.59% | 43.41% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.42% | 29.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.39% | 65.61% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 6.16% 3-0 @ 5.05% 3-2 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.27% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 4.43% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-1 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.17% Total : 24.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |