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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 53.27% | 22.36% | 24.36% |
| Both teams to score 59.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.25% | 39.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.89% | 62.11% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.02% | 14.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.59% | 43.41% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% | 29.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.39% | 65.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 6.16% 3-0 @ 5.05% 3-2 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.27% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 4.43% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-1 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.17% Total : 24.36% |