Eredivisie | Gameweek 4

Oct 3, 2020 at 3.30pm UK

GelreDome, Arnhem

Vitesse
3 - 0
Heracles

Openda (34'), Darfalou (37'), Tannane (63')
Tannane (31'), Bero (33')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bijleveld (36')

Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and Heracles.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Heracles
59.11%	22.19%	18.7%

Both teams to score 52.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.89%

46.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.59%

68.41%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.76%

15.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.09%

43.91%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.47%

38.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.73%

75.27%

Score Analysis

Vitesse 59.1%

Heracles 18.7%

Draw 22.18%

Vitesse	Draw	Heracles
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 6.52% 3-1 @ 6.22% 4-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-2 @ 1.39% 5-0 @ 1.15% 5-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.44% Total : 59.1%	1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.18%	0-1 @ 5.6% 1-2 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 2.67% 1-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.7%