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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Vitesse |
| 31.13% | 23.82% | 45.04% |
| Both teams to score 60.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.39% | 41.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.99% | 64% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% | 25.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.31% | 60.69% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.28% | 18.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.91% | 50.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 7.43% 1-0 @ 6.54% 2-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.13% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-1 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 5.13% 0-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.15% 0-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.44% Total : 45.04% |