Eredivisie | Gameweek 3

Sep 26, 2020 at 8pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
2 - 1
Vitesse

Promes (21'), Antony (70')
Schuurs (10'), Blind (45+1'), Tagliafico (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bazoer (56')
Bruns (35'), Hajek (45+3'), Wittek (81'), Tannane (82')

Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Vitesse.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 65.43%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Vitesse
65.43%	17.78%	16.79%

Both teams to score 64.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.42%

28.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.54%

49.46%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.72%

8.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.1%

28.9%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.07%

29.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.97%

66.04%

Score Analysis

Ajax 65.43%

Vitesse 16.79%

Draw 17.79%

Ajax	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 9.28% 3-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-0 @ 6.39% 1-0 @ 6.17% 4-1 @ 4.8% 3-2 @ 4.65% 4-0 @ 3.98% 4-2 @ 2.9% 5-1 @ 2.39% 5-0 @ 1.98% 5-2 @ 1.44% 4-3 @ 1.17% 6-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.88% Total : 65.43%	1-1 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 5.6% 0-0 @ 2.48% 3-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 0.4% Total : 17.79%	1-2 @ 4.49% 0-1 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-3 @ 1.81% 0-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 3.45% Total : 16.79%

Ajax2 - 1Vitesse

Data Analysis

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Ajax
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