Eredivisie | Gameweek 1

Sep 13, 2020 at 1.30pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
0 - 1
Ajax

Heylen (54'), Pinto (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Antony (37')
Gravenberch (17'), Blind (28'), Onana (86')
Tagliafico (27')

Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.64%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Ajax
23.39%	21.96%	54.64%

Both teams to score 60.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.07%

38.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.75%

61.25%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.08%

29.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.98%

66.02%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.75%

14.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.99%

42.01%

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 23.39%

Ajax 54.64%

Draw 21.96%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 6.05% 1-0 @ 5.14% 2-0 @ 3.1% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.05% Total : 23.39%	1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 4.26% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.96%	1-2 @ 9.77% 0-1 @ 8.31% 0-2 @ 8.09% 1-3 @ 6.34% 0-3 @ 5.26% 2-3 @ 3.83% 1-4 @ 3.09% 0-4 @ 2.56% 2-4 @ 1.87% 1-5 @ 1.21% 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 3.33% Total : 54.64%