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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.25%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 12.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.25%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 72.25% | 15.2% | 12.54% |
| Both teams to score 63.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.85% | 25.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.88% | 45.12% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.88% | 6.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.77% | 23.22% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.29% | 32.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.74% | 69.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 7.81% 3-0 @ 7.28% 4-1 @ 5.68% 1-0 @ 5.59% 4-0 @ 5.08% 3-2 @ 4.55% 4-2 @ 3.18% 5-1 @ 3.18% 5-0 @ 2.84% 5-2 @ 1.77% 6-1 @ 1.48% 6-0 @ 1.32% 4-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 4.44% Total : 72.25% | 1-1 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 4.88% 0-0 @ 2% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.38% Total : 15.2% | 1-2 @ 3.49% 0-1 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-3 @ 1.3% 0-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.44% Total : 12.54% |