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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-3 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 13.37% | 16.35% | 70.27% |
| Both teams to score 60.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.98% | 29.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50% | 50% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% | 34.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.96% | 71.04% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.6% | 7.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.32% | 26.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 3.78% 1-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 1.75% 2-0 @ 1.45% 3-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.32% Total : 13.37% | 1-1 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 4.92% 0-0 @ 2.54% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.3% Total : 16.35% | 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-2 @ 8.62% 1-3 @ 7.99% 0-3 @ 7.48% 0-1 @ 6.62% 1-4 @ 5.2% 0-4 @ 4.87% 2-3 @ 4.27% 2-4 @ 2.78% 1-5 @ 2.71% 0-5 @ 2.54% 2-5 @ 1.45% 1-6 @ 1.18% 0-6 @ 1.1% 3-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.27% Total : 70.27% |