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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 12.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 69.21% | 18.25% | 12.54% |
| Both teams to score 50.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.37% | 40.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.98% | 63.01% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.35% | 10.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.51% | 34.49% |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.66% | 43.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.42% | 79.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-0 @ 11.57% 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 7.23% 4-0 @ 4.84% 4-1 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.02% 5-0 @ 2.17% 5-1 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 4.16% Total : 69.2% | 1-1 @ 8.64% 0-0 @ 4.61% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.95% Total : 18.25% | 0-1 @ 3.86% 1-2 @ 3.61% 0-2 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.13% 1-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.32% Total : 12.54% |