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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-0 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 16.61% | 21.02% | 62.38% |
| Both teams to score 51.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.54% | 44.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.17% | 66.83% |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.99% | 40.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.34% | 76.66% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.33% | 13.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.12% | 40.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 5.01% 2-1 @ 4.57% 2-0 @ 2.3% 3-1 @ 1.4% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.95% Total : 16.61% | 1-1 @ 9.97% 0-0 @ 5.47% 2-2 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.02% | 0-1 @ 10.88% 0-2 @ 10.83% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-3 @ 7.18% 1-3 @ 6.58% 0-4 @ 3.57% 1-4 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 3.01% 2-4 @ 1.5% 0-5 @ 1.42% 1-5 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.89% Total : 62.37% |