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Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Oct 4, 2020 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
AZ Alkmaar

Sparta
4 - 4
AZ

Harroui (57'), Abels (64'), Thy (88' pen.), Mijnans (90')
Mijnans (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Aboukhlal (9', 19'), De Wit (14', 33')
Bizot (55'), Boadu (56'), Aboukhlal (67')
Bizot (85')
Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and AZ Alkmaar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawAZ Alkmaar
27.26%24.33%48.41%
Both teams to score 56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.83%46.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54%68.46%
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27%30.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.01%66.99%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85%19.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.2%50.8%
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 27.26%
    AZ Alkmaar 48.41%
    Draw 24.33%
Sparta RotterdamDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 6.94%
2-1 @ 6.77%
2-0 @ 4.1%
3-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 27.26%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 5.89%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 9.73%
1-2 @ 9.49%
0-2 @ 8.04%
1-3 @ 5.23%
0-3 @ 4.43%
2-3 @ 3.08%
1-4 @ 2.16%
0-4 @ 1.83%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 48.41%