Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Oct 17, 2020 at 7pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
2 - 2
VVV-Venlo

Karlsson (2'), Stengs (24')
De Wit (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Linthorst (86'), Giakoumakis (87' pen.)
Machach (19'), Gelmi (30'), Hunte (46')

Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and VVV-Venlo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 67.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 13.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	VVV-Venlo
67.5%	18.58%	13.93%

Both teams to score 53.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.22%

38.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.91%

61.09%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.43%

10.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.69%

34.31%

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.95%

40.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.3%

76.7%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 67.49%

VVV-Venlo 13.93%

Draw 18.58%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	VVV-Venlo
2-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 9.78% 1-0 @ 9.51% 3-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 7.33% 4-0 @ 4.5% 4-1 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.35% 5-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.85% Other @ 4.45% Total : 67.49%	1-1 @ 8.7% 2-2 @ 4.48% 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.58%	1-2 @ 3.98% 0-1 @ 3.87% 0-2 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.37% 1-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.72% Total : 13.93%