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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 43.41% | 25.51% | 31.08% |
| Both teams to score 54.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% | 49.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.73% | 71.27% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% | 22.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.8% | 56.2% |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% | 29.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.42% | 65.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 7.39% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.41% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.14% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.08% |