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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 66.87% | 19.25% | 13.88% |
| Both teams to score 51.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.96% | 42.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.55% | 64.45% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.34% | 11.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.29% | 36.71% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.81% | 42.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.4% | 78.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-0 @ 11.36% 1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 8.14% 3-1 @ 7.02% 4-0 @ 4.37% 4-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 3.03% 5-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.66% Total : 66.87% | 1-1 @ 9.12% 0-0 @ 4.92% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.98% Total : 19.25% | 0-1 @ 4.24% 1-2 @ 3.94% 0-2 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.22% 1-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.88% |