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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 21.34% | 23.16% | 55.51% |
| Both teams to score 53.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.29% | 46.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.02% | 68.98% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.88% | 36.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.1% | 72.9% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.33% | 16.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.46% | 46.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 6.13% 2-1 @ 5.59% 2-0 @ 3.12% 3-1 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.7% 3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.83% Total : 21.34% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 10.78% 1-2 @ 9.84% 0-2 @ 9.66% 1-3 @ 5.88% 0-3 @ 5.77% 2-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 2.63% 0-4 @ 2.58% 2-4 @ 1.34% 1-5 @ 0.94% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.15% Total : 55.5% |