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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
39.86% | 26.46% | 33.67% |
Both teams to score 52.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.56% | 52.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.89% | 74.11% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.18% | 25.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.22% | 60.78% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.55% | 29.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.54% | 65.46% |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.36% Total : 39.85% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |