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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 39.86% | 26.46% | 33.67% |
| Both teams to score 52.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.56% | 52.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.89% | 74.11% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.18% | 25.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.22% | 60.78% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% | 29.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.54% | 65.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.36% Total : 39.85% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.67% |