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Europa League

PSV
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 26, 2020 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
PAOK

PSV
3 - 2
PAOK

Gakpo (20'), Madueke (50'), Malen (53')
Dumfries (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Varela (4'), Tzolis (13')
Tsiggaras (8'), El Kaddouri (64'), Douglas (71'), Biseswar (90+4'), Varela (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between PSV Eindhoven and PAOK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawPAOK
32.19%25.9%41.9%
Both teams to score 53.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.54%50.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.61%72.39%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56%29.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56%65.43%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13%23.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.94%58.06%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 32.19%
    PAOK 41.9%
    Draw 25.9%
PSV EindhovenDrawPAOK
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-1 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.19%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 7.03%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 10.06%
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-2 @ 7.21%
1-3 @ 4.21%
0-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 41.9%