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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heracles |
| 51.61% | 25.14% | 23.25% |
| Both teams to score 49.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.23% | 52.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.6% | 74.4% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% | 20.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.09% | 52.91% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.31% | 37.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.54% | 74.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% 2-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-0 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.61% Total : 51.61% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 7.52% 1-2 @ 5.83% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.64% Total : 23.25% |