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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 46.38% | 24.43% | 29.19% |
| Both teams to score 57.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.62% | 45.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% | 67.71% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% | 19.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.34% | 51.66% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% | 28.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.2% | 64.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% 1-0 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 5.06% 3-0 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.38% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-1 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.19% |