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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 56.48%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 22.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 56.48% | 21.41% | 22.11% |
| Both teams to score 60.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.16% | 37.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.91% | 60.09% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.69% | 13.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.85% | 40.15% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% | 30.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.4% | 66.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 8.23% 1-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 6.59% 3-0 @ 5.53% 3-2 @ 3.92% 4-1 @ 3.32% 4-0 @ 2.79% 4-2 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.34% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.7% Total : 56.48% | 1-1 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 4.05% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.41% | 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-1 @ 4.82% 0-2 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.89% Total : 22.11% |