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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 39.34% | 24.7% | 35.96% |
| Both teams to score 58.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.66% | 44.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.28% | 66.72% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% | 22.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44% | 56% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% | 24.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.42% | 58.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% 1-0 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.34% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-1 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 3.86% 2-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.98% Total : 35.96% |