AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
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Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Oct 18, 2020 at 1.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Heerenveen

Ajax
5 - 1
Heerenveen

Tadic (4', 28' pen.), Kudus (35'), Klaassen (72' pen.), Antony (87')
Martinez (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Veerman (66')
Kongolo (72'), Paul van Hecke (74')
Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Heerenveen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 11.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 3-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.73%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
72.7%15.45%11.85%
Both teams to score 59.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.55%28.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.69%49.31%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.2%6.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.92%25.08%
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85%36.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.07%72.93%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 72.7%
    Heerenveen 11.85%
    Draw 15.45%
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 8.89%
3-1 @ 8.1%
3-0 @ 7.96%
1-0 @ 6.61%
4-1 @ 5.45%
4-0 @ 5.35%
3-2 @ 4.12%
5-1 @ 2.93%
5-0 @ 2.88%
4-2 @ 2.77%
5-2 @ 1.49%
6-1 @ 1.31%
6-0 @ 1.29%
4-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 72.7%
1-1 @ 6.73%
2-2 @ 4.6%
0-0 @ 2.46%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 15.45%
1-2 @ 3.42%
0-1 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 1.56%
0-2 @ 1.27%
1-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 11.85%