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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Willem II |
| 42.27% | 26.03% | 31.7% |
| Both teams to score 53.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.83% | 51.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.99% | 73.01% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% | 24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.75% | 58.25% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% | 30.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.73% | 66.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 7.36% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.78% Total : 42.26% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 2.08% Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.7% |