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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Willem II |
38.17% | 24.89% | 36.94% |
Both teams to score 58.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.86% | 45.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.52% | 67.48% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.59% | 23.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.6% | 57.39% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.94% | 24.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.66% | 58.33% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Willem II |
2-1 @ 8.46% 1-0 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 5.94% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.17% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-1 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 3.94% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.99% Total : 36.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 60 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
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