Eredivisie | Gameweek 11

Dec 5, 2020 at 5.45pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
3 - 2
Willem II

Semedo (9'), Polter (29' pen.), Flemming (44')
Rota (33')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Pavlidis (66'), van der Heijden (87')
Heerkens (63'), Llonch (75')
Llonch (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Willem II
38.17%	24.89%	36.94%

Both teams to score 58.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.86%

45.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.52%

67.48%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59%

23.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.6%

57.39%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.94%

24.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.66%

58.33%

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 38.17%

Willem II 36.94%

Draw 24.89%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Willem II
2-1 @ 8.46% 1-0 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 5.94% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.17%	1-1 @ 11.65% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.89%	1-2 @ 8.3% 0-1 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 3.94% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.99% Total : 36.94%