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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 66.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 14.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Vitesse in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 66.34% | 19.65% | 14.01% |
| Both teams to score 50.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.46% | 43.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.07% | 65.93% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.76% | 12.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.05% | 37.95% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.06% | 42.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.76% | 79.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 11.59% 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 6.86% 4-0 @ 4.26% 4-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.9% 5-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.33% Total : 66.33% | 1-1 @ 9.33% 0-0 @ 5.25% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.92% Total : 19.65% | 0-1 @ 4.44% 1-2 @ 3.95% 0-2 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.17% 1-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.47% Total : 14.01% |