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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.36%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 9.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
75.36% | 14.85% | 9.79% |
Both teams to score 53.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.11% | 31.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.55% | 53.45% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.93% | 7.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.18% | 25.82% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.78% | 42.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.37% | 78.63% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-0 @ 10.48% 3-0 @ 9.26% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 7.98% 1-0 @ 7.92% 4-0 @ 6.13% 4-1 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 3.44% 5-0 @ 3.25% 5-1 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 2.28% 6-0 @ 1.43% 6-1 @ 1.24% 5-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.64% Total : 75.36% | 1-1 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 3.9% 0-0 @ 2.99% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.16% Total : 14.85% | 1-2 @ 2.94% 0-1 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 1.12% 0-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.04% Total : 9.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |