Eredivisie | Gameweek 7

Oct 31, 2020 at 7pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
5 - 2
Sittard

Klaassen (32', 45'), Brobbey (74'), Tadic (86' pen.), Promes (90+5' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

Cox (7', 90+6')
Angha (85')

Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Fortuna Sittard.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.36%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 9.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
75.36%	14.85%	9.79%

Both teams to score 53.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.11%

31.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.55%

53.45%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.93%

7.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.18%

25.82%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.78%

42.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.37%

78.63%

Score Analysis

Ajax 75.36%

Fortuna Sittard 9.79%

Draw 14.85%

Ajax	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 10.48% 3-0 @ 9.26% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 7.98% 1-0 @ 7.92% 4-0 @ 6.13% 4-1 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 3.44% 5-0 @ 3.25% 5-1 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 2.28% 6-0 @ 1.43% 6-1 @ 1.24% 5-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.64% Total : 75.36%	1-1 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 3.9% 0-0 @ 2.99% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.16% Total : 14.85%	1-2 @ 2.94% 0-1 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 1.12% 0-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.04% Total : 9.79%