Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 21, 2020 at 8pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
0 - 1
Liverpool

Promes (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tagliafico (35' og.)
Milner (38'), Alexander-Arnold (80')

Reaction

Liverpool midfielder Fabinho pictured in September 2019

Georginio Wijnaldum lavishes praise on Fabinho for performance at Ajax

The Brazil international was man of the match in the 1-0 victory over Ajax in their Champions League opener in Amsterdam.

Oct 22, 12:53

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp pictured ahead of the Community Shield on August 29, 2020

Jurgen Klopp pleased with Fabinho, Joe Gomez partnership against Ajax

Liverpool are set to be without defensive talisman Virgil Van Virgil van Dijk for some time.

Oct 21, 22:27

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.76%) and 2-3 (5.17%). The likeliest Ajax win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Liverpool
32.82%	20.55%	46.63%

Both teams to score 73.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.47%

24.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.69%

44.3%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.42%

16.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.63%

46.37%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.4%

11.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.41%

36.58%

Score Analysis

Ajax 32.82%

Liverpool 46.63%

Draw 20.55%

Ajax	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 6.69% 3-2 @ 4.32% 3-1 @ 4.01% 1-0 @ 3.46% 2-0 @ 3.11% 4-2 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 4.26% Total : 32.82%	1-1 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 7.21% 3-3 @ 3.1% 0-0 @ 1.92% Other @ 0.88% Total : 20.55%	1-2 @ 8.02% 1-3 @ 5.76% 2-3 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 4.46% 0-1 @ 4.14% 0-3 @ 3.2% 1-4 @ 3.1% 2-4 @ 2.79% 0-4 @ 1.73% 3-4 @ 1.67% 1-5 @ 1.34% 2-5 @ 1.2% Other @ 4.05% Total : 46.63%