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Quincy Promes
90'+3'
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Nicolas Tagliafico
35'
(OG)
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James Milner
38'
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Trent Alexander-Arnold
80'
Ajax vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F35%2Fjurgen-klopp.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F44%2Ffabinho.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F43%2Fajaliv.JPG)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F42%2Fthiago-alcantara.JPG)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F42%2Fjurgen-klopp.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F42%2Feveliv_1.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.76%) and 2-3 (5.17%). The likeliest Ajax win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result
Ajax
32.82%
Draw
20.55%
Liverpool
46.63%
Both Teams to Score:
73.75%
Goals
Over 2.5
75.47%
Under 2.5
24.53%
Over 3.5
55.69%
Under 3.5
44.3%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
83.42%
Under 0.5
16.58%
Over 1.5
53.63%
Under 1.5
46.37%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5
88.4%
Under 0.5
11.6%
Over 1.5
63.41%
Under 1.5
36.58%
Score analysis
Ajax
32.82%
Draw
20.55%
Liverpool
46.63%
Ajax
2-1
@
6.69%
3-2 @ 4.32%
3-1 @ 4.01%
1-0 @ 3.46%
2-0 @ 3.11%
4-2 @ 1.94%
3-0 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 32.82%
3-2 @ 4.32%
3-1 @ 4.01%
1-0 @ 3.46%
2-0 @ 3.11%
4-2 @ 1.94%
3-0 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 32.82%
Draw
1-1
@
7.44%
2-2 @ 7.21%
3-3 @ 3.1%
0-0 @ 1.92%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.55%
2-2 @ 7.21%
3-3 @ 3.1%
0-0 @ 1.92%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.55%
Liverpool
1-2
@
8.02%
1-3 @ 5.76%
2-3 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 4.46%
0-1 @ 4.14%
0-3 @ 3.2%
1-4 @ 3.1%
2-4 @ 2.79%
0-4 @ 1.73%
3-4 @ 1.67%
1-5 @ 1.34%
2-5 @ 1.2%
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 46.63%
1-3 @ 5.76%
2-3 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 4.46%
0-1 @ 4.14%
0-3 @ 3.2%
1-4 @ 3.1%
2-4 @ 2.79%
0-4 @ 1.73%
3-4 @ 1.67%
1-5 @ 1.34%
2-5 @ 1.2%
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 46.63%
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F43%2Fdusan-tadic.jpg)
Feature
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F43%2Fvirgil-van-dijk.jpg)