EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 24, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Lincoln
2 - 7
Liverpool

Edun (61'), Montsma (67')
Eyoma (69')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Shaqiri (9'), Minamino (18', 46'), Jones (32', 36'), Grujic (65'), Origi (89')

Reaction

Liverpool's Curtis Jones pictured in the EFL Cup on September 24, 2020

Jurgen Klopp heaps praise on "exceptional talent" Curtis Jones

The teenager scored twice in Liverpool's 7-2 Carabao Cup victory over Lincoln.

Sep 24, 22:17

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 66.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 1-0 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Liverpool
14%	19.54%	66.45%

Both teams to score 50.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.88%

43.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.48%

65.52%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.31%

42.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.98%

79.02%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.92%

12.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.38%

37.62%

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 14%

Liverpool 66.44%

Draw 19.55%

Lincoln City	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 4.39% 2-1 @ 3.95% 2-0 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.18% 3-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.49% Total : 14%	1-1 @ 9.28% 0-0 @ 5.16% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.94% Total : 19.55%	0-2 @ 11.51% 0-1 @ 10.9% 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-3 @ 8.12% 1-3 @ 6.91% 0-4 @ 4.29% 1-4 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 2.94% 0-5 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 1.55% 1-5 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.42% Total : 66.44%