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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 40.84% | 25.98% | 33.17% |
| Both teams to score 53.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.46% | 50.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.54% | 72.46% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% | 24.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.12% | 58.88% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% | 28.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.3% | 64.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.84% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.17% |