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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Oxford United |
| 34.53% | 25.79% | 39.68% |
| Both teams to score 54.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.53% | 49.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.5% | 71.5% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% | 27.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% | 62.96% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% | 24.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.94% | 59.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% 2-1 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.53% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.75% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.47% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 4.02% 0-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.68% |