League One

Jul 6, 2020 at 5pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Portsmouth

Harrison (45+3' og.)
Long (58'), Browne (73'), Dickie (91'), Rodriguez (103'), Taylor (107')

FT
(aet)

Harness (38')
Marquis (64'), McGeehan (90+4')

Oxford Utd win 5-4 on penalties

Reaction

Oxford United manager Karl Robinson pictured in October 2019

Karl Robinson hails "incredible" Oxford after reaching League One playoff final

The U's beat Portsmouth on penalties at the Kassam Stadium.

Jul 6, 20:23

The Match

Match Report

Cameron Brannagan sent the U's through to face Wycombe.

Preview

Sports Mole previews the second leg of the League One playoff semi-final between Oxford United and Portsmouth, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%).

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Portsmouth
46.25%	25.95%	27.81%

Both teams to score 51.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.44%

52.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.78%

74.22%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.3%

22.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.64%

56.36%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33%

33.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.68%

70.32%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 46.24%

Portsmouth 27.81%

Draw 25.94%

Oxford United	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 8.4% 3-1 @ 4.52% 3-0 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.1% Total : 46.24%	1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.81%

Build-up

Portsmouth's Bryn Morris pictured in May 2019

Bryn Morris claims Portsmouth have the edge in playoff semi-final against Oxford

The tie is hanging in the balance after a 1-1 draw at Fratton Park on Friday.

Jul 5, 17:16