EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2020 at 7pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd2 - 1Chelsea U21s
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Oxford United and Chelsea Under-21s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 69.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Chelsea Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 69.39% | 17.77% | 12.84% |
| Both teams to score 53.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.43% | 37.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.19% | 59.81% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.23% | 9.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.5% | 32.5% |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.12% | 40.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.55% | 77.45% |
| Score Analysis |
Oxford United 69.39%
Chelsea Under-21s 12.84%
Draw 17.77%
| Oxford United | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 9.29% 3-0 @ 8.38% 3-1 @ 7.49% 4-0 @ 4.87% 4-1 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 3.35% 5-0 @ 2.27% 5-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.95% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 4.03% Total : 69.39% | 1-1 @ 8.31% 2-2 @ 4.32% 0-0 @ 4% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.77% | 1-2 @ 3.72% 0-1 @ 3.57% 0-2 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.29% 1-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.55% Total : 12.84% |


