EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Fourth Round

Oct 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
0 - 0
Arsenal

Minamino (15'), Wilson (75')

FT
(aet)

Xhaka (51'), Soares (90+2')

Arsenal win 5-4 on penalties

Reaction

Arsenal goalkeeper Bernd Leno pictured on June 17, 2020

Mikel Arteta lavishes praise on Bernd Leno after win over Liverpool

The Gunners beat Liverpool on penalties and will now face Manchester City in the next round.

Oct 1, 23:00

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 54.45%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%).

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Arsenal
54.45%	22.46%	23.1%

Both teams to score 57.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.45%

41.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.05%

63.95%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.79%

15.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.14%

43.86%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.39%

31.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.98%

68.02%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 54.45%

Arsenal 23.1%

Draw 22.45%

Liverpool	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.82% 1-0 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 6.16% 3-0 @ 5.35% 3-2 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 2.9% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.85% Total : 54.45%	1-1 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 5.65% 0-0 @ 4.81% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.45%	1-2 @ 6.01% 0-1 @ 5.54% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.67% Total : 23.1%