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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.56%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-0 (4.08%).
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Ajax |
| 11.84% | 18.57% | 69.59% |
| Both teams to score 47.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.12% | 43.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.73% | 66.27% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.42% | 46.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.83% | 82.17% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.55% | 11.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.73% | 36.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Ajax |
| 1-0 @ 4.08% 2-1 @ 3.37% 2-0 @ 1.56% 3-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.91% Total : 11.84% | 1-1 @ 8.83% 0-0 @ 5.33% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.75% Total : 18.57% | 0-2 @ 12.52% 0-1 @ 11.56% 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-3 @ 9.05% 1-3 @ 6.91% 0-4 @ 4.9% 1-4 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-5 @ 2.13% 1-5 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.5% Total : 69.58% |