Eredivisie | Gameweek 13

Dec 20, 2020 at 3.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
5 - 3
Willem II

Koopmeiners (38', 43'), Stengs (53'), Midtsjo (65'), Karlsson (69' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-2)

Aboukhlal (22' og.), Tresor Ndayishimiye (36' pen.), Nunnely (90')
Kohn (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 63.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 15.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Willem II
63.74%	20.55%	15.71%

Both teams to score 51.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.96%

44.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.57%

66.43%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.86%

13.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.2%

39.8%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.1%

40.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.54%

77.46%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 63.73%

Willem II 15.71%

Draw 20.55%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Willem II
2-0 @ 11.06% 1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 6.7% 4-0 @ 3.8% 4-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.99% 5-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.06% Total : 63.73%	1-1 @ 9.75% 0-0 @ 5.37% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 1% Total : 20.55%	0-1 @ 4.8% 1-2 @ 4.36% 0-2 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.32% 1-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.78% Total : 15.71%

How you voted: AZ vs Willem II

100%

Draw

0.0%

Willem II