Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Dec 10, 2020 at 5.55pm UK

Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka
2 - 1
AZ

Menalo (51'), Tomecak (90+3')
Menalo (28'), Capan (38'), Loncar (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wijndal (57')
Wijndal (38'), Midtsjo (45'), Stengs (82')
Karlsson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between HNK Rijeka and AZ, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
HNK Rijeka	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
28.71%	24.79%	46.5%

Both teams to score 55.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.76%

47.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.53%

69.47%

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.78%

30.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.62%

66.38%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.62%

20.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.21%

52.79%

Score Analysis

HNK Rijeka 28.71%

AZ Alkmaar 46.5%

Draw 24.79%

HNK Rijeka	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 7.37% 2-1 @ 7.01% 2-0 @ 4.41% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.13% Total : 28.71%	1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 6.16% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.32% 0-2 @ 7.79% 1-3 @ 4.94% 0-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.77% Total : 46.5%

How you voted: Rijeka vs AZ

HNK Rijeka

22.3%

Draw

14.0%

63.7%