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Europa League

AZ Alkmaar
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 29, 2020 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion

AZ
4 - 1
Rijeka

Koopmeiners (6' pen.), Gudmundsson (20', 60'), Karlsson (51')
Koopmeiners (17'), Gudmundsson (31')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kulenovic (72')
Kulenovic (13'), Menalo (34'), Lepinjica (86')
Coverage of the Europa League Group Stage clash between AZ Alkmaar and HNK Rijeka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 15.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawHNK Rijeka
64.51%20.39%15.1%
Both teams to score 50.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.45%44.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.08%66.92%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.93%13.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.34%39.66%
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.98%42.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.55%78.46%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 64.5%
    HNK Rijeka 15.1%
    Draw 20.39%
AZ AlkmaarDrawHNK Rijeka
2-0 @ 11.37%
1-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 9.86%
3-0 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 6.69%
4-0 @ 3.92%
4-1 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 2.9%
5-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 64.5%
1-1 @ 9.69%
0-0 @ 5.49%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 20.39%
0-1 @ 4.76%
1-2 @ 4.2%
0-2 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.24%
1-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 15.1%

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