Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Dec 3, 2020 at 8pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
1 - 1
Napoli

Martins Indi (54')
Martins Indi (41'), Wijndal (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mertens (6')
Demme (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AZ and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for AZ had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest AZ win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Napoli
34.11%	27.17%	38.72%

Both teams to score 50.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.82%

55.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.58%

76.42%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.47%

30.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.24%

66.76%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.27%

27.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.7%

63.3%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 34.11%

Napoli 38.72%

Draw 27.16%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.11%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 3.53% 0-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.72%

How you voted: AZ vs Napoli

20.7%

Draw

26.2%

Napoli

53.1%