/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
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Bruno Martins Indi
41'
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Bruno Martins Indi
54'
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Owen Wijndal
56'
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Dries Mertens
6'
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Diego Demme
90'+2'
AZ Alkmaar vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F45%2Fazsoc.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for AZ had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest AZ win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
34.11%
Draw
27.17%
Napoli
38.72%
Both Teams to Score:
50.2%
Goals
Over 2.5
44.82%
Under 2.5
55.18%
Over 3.5
23.58%
Under 3.5
76.42%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
69.47%
Under 0.5
30.54%
Over 1.5
33.24%
Under 1.5
66.76%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
72.27%
Under 0.5
27.73%
Over 1.5
36.7%
Under 1.5
63.3%
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
34.11%
Draw
27.16%
Napoli
38.72%
AZ Alkmaar
1-0
@
10.04%
2-1 @ 7.64%
2-0 @ 5.96%
3-1 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 2.36%
3-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.11%
2-1 @ 7.64%
2-0 @ 5.96%
3-1 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 2.36%
3-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.11%
Draw
1-1
@
12.88%
0-0 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.16%
0-0 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.16%
Napoli
0-1
@
10.86%
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 6.97%
1-3 @ 3.53%
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 38.72%
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 6.97%
1-3 @ 3.53%
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 38.72%