Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.78%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
