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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 74.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Emmen |
74.79% | 16.31% | 8.9% |
Both teams to score 43.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.7% | 42.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.29% | 64.7% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.3% | 9.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.68% | 32.31% |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.69% | 51.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.45% | 85.55% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Emmen |
2-0 @ 13.54% 1-0 @ 11.6% 3-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 7.03% 4-0 @ 6.15% 4-1 @ 4.1% 5-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.35% 5-1 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.37% 6-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.16% Total : 74.77% | 1-1 @ 7.75% 0-0 @ 4.97% 2-2 @ 3.02% Other @ 0.58% Total : 16.31% | 0-1 @ 3.32% 1-2 @ 2.58% 0-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.89% Total : 8.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
3 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |