Eredivisie | Gameweek 8

Nov 8, 2020 at 3.45pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
0 - 3
AZ

Paul van Hecke (28')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Koopmeiners (29' pen.), Woudenberg (41' og.), Karlsson (47')

Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and AZ Alkmaar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
36.66%	24.2%	39.14%

Both teams to score 60.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.11%

41.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.71%

64.29%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.27%

22.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.59%

56.41%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.52%

21.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.48%

54.52%

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 36.66%

AZ Alkmaar 39.14%

Draw 24.2%

Heerenveen	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 8.24% 1-0 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.33% Total : 36.66%	1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 8.56% 0-1 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 5.78% 1-3 @ 4.39% 2-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.14%