Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 39.32% | 23.63% | 37.05% |
| Both teams to score 62.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.94% | 39.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.62% | 61.38% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.83% | 20.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.54% | 52.46% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.74% | 21.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.82% | 54.18% |
| Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar 39.32%
Real Sociedad 37.05%
Draw 23.62%
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% 1-0 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.06% Total : 39.32% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 6.59% 0-0 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 8.23% 0-1 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 4.25% 2-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.76% Total : 37.05% |


